Eagle Forum Legislative Alerts

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

How Do New Immigrants Vote?

Contrary to a myth being circulated among evangelical groups, polling data do not support the notion that immigrants are social conservatives. There is no evidence that amnesty or inviting more immigration will produce Republican votes, and there is abundant evidence that it will produce more Democratic votes. The New York Times Washington bureau chief admitted that “The two fastest-growing ethnic groups – Latinos and Asian-Americans – are decidedly liberal.” Heather MacDonald of the Manhattan Institute points out that “It is not immigration policy that creates the strong bond between Hispanics and the Democratic Party, but the core Democratic principles of a more generous safety net, strong government intervention in the economy, and progressive taxation.”

We should remember that after Ronald Reagan signed the 1986 amnesty, George H.W. Bush received only 30% of the Latino vote in 1988, seven percentage points less than Reagan received in 1984.

The Pew Research Center reported in 2011 that, of all groups surveyed, Hispanics have the most negative view of capitalism in America – 55%. This is higher than the share among self-identified liberal Democrats, even higher than the supporters of Occupy Wall Street. Also, the Pew Research Center found that 68% of Muslims prefer a bigger government providing more services, and only 21% of Muslims want a smaller government. Pew also found that American Muslims are not particularly conservative even on social issues.

The current level of immigration, even without S.744, will add nearly 15 million new potential voters by 2036, a large share of whom will favor the Left and increase votes for the Democratic Party. Also, that will alienate the Republican base, at least four million of whom stayed home in 2012. To allow this to happen will make Republicans a permanent minority party.

Listen to the radio commentary here:

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